Using BNs to Model Accidents
Outline
Signals Passed At Danger
Southampton SPAD
Signal Views
Organisational Accidents
Organisational Causes of SPADs
Bayesian Network
Organisational Model
BN Variables from Attributes
SPAD Scenarios
SPAD Scenario
Expert Judgement
Using the Causal Model
Summary
Author: William Marsh and George Bearfield
E-mail: william@dcs.qmul.ac.uk
Homepage: http://www.dcs.qmul.ac.uk/~william